Multi environment trials and adaption of advanced bread wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) genotypes in low moisture stress areas of Ethiopia

To predict bread wheat genetic potential across environments and adaption in low moisture stress wheat growing areas of Ethiopia. Multi-location trials were conducted in Ethiopia from 2020 to 2021 in main seasons. A total of advanced genotypes including the checks were arranged in randomized complete block design in a rectangular (row x column) array of plots with two replications. The results showed that, under the linear mixed model, the spatial and factor analytic models were efficient methods of data analysis for this study. By ranking average best linear unbiased prediction (BLUPs) within clusters, the 13 bread wheat environments were clustered into three mega environments (C1, C2, and C3) for the trait grain yield. This method used as a selection indicator, assisting in the selection of superior and adaptable types. The predicted performance of genotypes based on BLUP values averaged across correlated settings of C1 and C2, eliminating C3 due to low genetic correlation with the other trials and low genetic variation. Based on these clusters, the genotypes with the highest potential EBW192350 and EBW192369 were selected for a subsequent verification study that might potentially use them as a released variety. For genetic variance, the estimates for variance component parameters ranged from 0.069 to 2.896 and error variance, they ranged from 0.175 to 1.002. Therefore, increasing the application of this efficient analysis method will improve the selection of superior bread wheat varieties. The two genotypes can be further verified using national performance trials/ or verified in farmers’ fields for registration and commercialization.